How well all six models matched the 2000-01 final coaches' poll.

Table explanation: The Spearman Correlation Coefficients (SCC) below relate to how well the top 15, 25 and 35 teams, in the final coaches' poll, match with the predictions for the models listed. The '0,1,2' column contains how many top 35 team rankings were only off by 0, 1, or 2 places, and this is followed by the average deviation between the actual ranking and the prediction. ("X" in the large table at the bottom represents the number of wins in the NIT tournament that a team earned.)

SCC15 SCC25 SCC35 0,1,2 Average
ZP2 0.97857 0.94885 0.92537 11,9,4 2.4310
PR2 0.87500 0.90962 0.91506 8,6,8 2.9048
50T 0.91071 0.93269 0.93606 9,8,5 2.4952
LN2 0.96964 0.97654 0.90903 13,7,4 2.5524
 ZPF 0.94643 0.98000 0.92360 7,14,9 2.4000
MCB 0.79107 0.81577 0.85512 5,6,3 4.0952
OCC 0.89643 0.90538 0.87612 6,9,3 3.3810

Commentary: Every model experienced relatively large average differences this year; PR2 had its second highest total ever, while also recording its fourth lowest SCC-15 value - and LN2 had its third worst SCC-35 result. In fact, all of the models in the table above (MCB's SCC-35 value was 'average' for that model) recorded lower than usual SCC-35 values this year as well. The primary reason behind these dramatic swings, with regards to SCC-35 values, is because there were six teams, in the 'last 10' (#26-#35), that were seriously 'mispredicted' (by 6 or more positions - by all six models) and this impacted the resulting SCC-35 values quite significantly. (The six teams are: Indiana, Wake Forest, Tennessee, Alabama, Xavier and Georgia Tech.)

The PR2 model was only off by one place, with regards to #28 (NIT champion) Tulsa, but the other five models varied from 2 to 5 to 8 upto 11 place discrepancies (for Tulsa), and the NIT runnerup (Alabama, tied for #33) was included in the 'list' of six incorrectly predicted teams mentioned above (though MCB was only 'off' by two positions - the most accurate prediction of the seven models listed here).

TeamName Poll Wins ZP2 PR2 50T LN2 ZPF MCB OCC
Duke 1 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Arizona 2 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
MichiganSt 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Maryland 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
Stanford 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
Illinois 6 3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Kansas 7 2 8 9 8 8 10 7 9
Kentucky 8 2 7 7 7 7 7 9 7
Mississippi 9 2 9 11 10 9 11 13 10
NorthCarolina 10 1 10 12 12 10 8 12 8
BostonCollege 11 1 11 13 13 11 9 14 12
UCLA 12 2 14 14 15 15 13 15 15
Florida 13 1 12 15 14 14 12 11 13
USC 14 3 13 8 9 13 16 8 14
IowaSt 15 0 17 18 17 17 15 21 21
Temple 16 3 15 10 11 12 14 10 11
Georgetown 17 2 16 16 16 16 18 18 16
Syracuse 18 1 19 19 19 18 17 31 19
Oklahoma 19 0 28 28 27 19 19 25 27
Gonzaga 20 2 20 20 20 21 23 17 18
Virginia 21 0 23 23 22 24 20 26 28
Cincinnati 22 2 18 17 18 20 21 16 17
NotreDame 23 1 22 22 23 23 22 28 20
StJoseph'sPA 24 1 24 24 25 26 26 20 23
PennSt 25 2 21 21 21 22 25 22 22
Texas 26 0 25 25 24 25 24 34 30
Indiana 27 0 35 36 34 37 38 37 33
Tulsa 28 "5" 33 29 26 39 30 33 36
Iowa 29 1 27 27 29 27 27 30 25
WakeForest 30 0 39 39 36 38 39 29 35
FresnoSt 31 1 26 26 28 28 28 19 26
Tennessee 32 0 42 42 42 43 43 39 40
Alabama 33T "4" 37 37 38 41 40 35 24
Butler 33T 1 29 30 30 32 33 24 32
Xavier 35T 0 47 47 46 52 52 42 65
UtahSt 35T 1 31 32 32 31 32 23 32
GeorgiaSt 35T 1 30 31 31 29 29 32 29
Missouri 38T 1 34 34 35 36 37 45 41
OhioSt 38T 0 41 41 41 42 42 41 38
GeorgiaTech 40T 0 50 50 49 45 45 52 49
Charlotte 40T 1 32 33 33 30 31 27 31
Wisconsin 42T 0 40 40 39 40 41 47 37
IndianaSt 42T 1 38 38 40 35 36 50 43
Kent 44T 1 36 35 37 33 34 40 42
Richmond 44T 1 61 62 68 75 75 54 47