1 - Expected Difference Rating (19-9, 2-2) | 2 - Power Rating (18-10, 0-1) |
3 - Discrete Rating Model (17-7-4, 6-2-4) | 4 - Virtual Game Model (18-8-2, 7-5-2) |
5 - Overtake and Feedback (Ranking) (18-10, 3-2) | + - Result if disagree with the team who was favored |
Inside the (...) above is each system's won/loss record: first "straight up", and then against the spread (when disagreeing with the favorite listed by "the bookies"). The 3rd number listed is for ties; the number of games that the model thinks is dead even. The favorites won 19 and lost 9, and 15 of the 28 favorites covered the spread in 2003.
W/L | Cover | Score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | |
Rose (Bowl): USC by 6.5 over Michigan |
W | Y | 28-14 | W | W | W | W | W | |||||
Orange: Florida State by 1.5 over Miami (F) |
L | N | 14-16 | L | L | W | W | L | Y | Y | |||
Sugar: Oklahoma by 5.5 over LSU |
L | N | 14-21 | L | L | W | W | W | Y | Y | Y | ||
Cotton: Mississippi by 2.5 over Oklahoma State |
W | Y | 31-28 | W | W | W | W | L | N | ||||
Sun: Minnesota by 4 over Oregon |
W | N | 31-30 | W | W | L | W | L | Y | Y | |||
Gator: Maryland by 3.5 over West Virginia |
W | Y | 41-7 | W | W | T | W | W | T | ||||
Liberty: Utah by 2 over Southern Mississippi |
W | Y | 17-0 | W | W | T | W | W | T | ||||
Peach: Tennessee by 6 over Clemson |
L | N | 14-27 | L | L | L | W | L | Y | ||||
Capital One: Georgia by 3 over Purdue |
W | Y | 34-27 | W | W | W | L | W | N | ||||
Fiesta: Kansas State by 6.5 over Ohio State |
L | N | 28-35 | L | L | L | T | L | T | ||||
Independence: Arkansas by 2.5 over Missouri |
W | Y | 27-14 | W | W | L | W | W | N | ||||
Tangerine: North Carolina State by 11 over Kansas |
W | Y | 56-26 | W | W | W | L | W | N | ||||
Holiday: Texas by 9.5 over Washington State |
L | N | 20-28 | L | L | L | W | L | Y | ||||
Outback: Florida by 3.5 over Iowa |
L | N | 17-37 | W | L | W | W | L | Y | Y | Y | ||
Insight.com: Virginia Tech by 2.5 over California |
L | N | 49-52 | L | L | W | T | W | Y | T | Y | ||
Las Vegas: Oregon State by 2 over New Mexico |
W | Y | 55-14 | L | L | T | W | W | N | N | T | ||
Alamo: Nebraska by 3 over Michigan State |
W | Y | 17-3 | W | W | W | W | W | |||||
Humanitarian: Georgia Tech by 8 over Tulsa |
W | Y | 52-10 | L | W | W | L | W | N | N | |||
Motor City: Bowling Green by 7 over Northwestern |
W | N | 28-24 | W | W | W | W | W | |||||
Music City: Auburn by 3 over Wisconsin |
W | Y | 28-14 | W | W | L | W | W | N | ||||
GMAC: Miami (O) by 13.5 over Louisville |
W | Y | 49-28 | W | W | W | L | W | N | ||||
Silicon Valley: UCLA by 3 over Fresno State |
L | N | 9-17 | W | L | L | W | L | Y | Y | |||
Hawaii: Hawaii by 10.5 over Houston |
W | N | 54-48 | W | W | W | L | W | N | ||||
San Francisco: Colorado State by 1 over Boston College |
L | N | 21-35 | L | L | W | L | L | Y | ||||
Ft. Worth: Boise State by 10 over TCU |
W | N | 34-31 | W | W | W | W | W | |||||
New Orleans: Memphis by 4 over North Texas State |
W | Y | 27-17 | W | W | T | W | L | T | N | |||
Houston: Texas Tech by 12.5 over Navy |
W | Y | 38-14 | W | W | W | W | W | |||||
Continental Tire: Virginia by 2.5 over Pittsburgh |
W | Y | 23-16 | W | W | W | L | W | N |
Back to Prof. Trono's Home page. (This page last modified August 20, 2004 .)