Vertical Articulation of Individual
Grade Expectations for Mathematics
Vermont‘s Framework of Standards and Learning Opportunities 

Standard  M:29 Experimental Probability

Introduction: 

Standard M:29 focuses on the use of experimental probability to determine the likelihood of the occurrence of an event presented as a fraction or ratio.

Kindergarten

MK: 29   No MK: 29 at this grade level

First Grade

M1: 29   No M1: 29 at this grade level

Second Grade

M2: 29   No M2: 29 at this grade level

Third grade

M3: 29 Uses experimental probability to describe the likelihood or chance of an event using “more likely,” “less likely,” “equally likely,” “certain,” or “impossible.”

Fourth Grade

M4: 29 Uses experimental probability, records the outcomes, and describes the likelihood of an event as a value from 0 through 1 (for events that are certain to occur) written as either a ratio or as part to whole (e.g., 7 out of 10).

Fifth grade

M5: 29 Uses experimental probability, evaluates the possible outcomes, and describes the likelihood or chance of  an event as a ratio of actual times the event occurred to the number of trials written as either a ratio or as part to whole.

Sixth Grade

M6: 29 Uses experimental probability to make and test conjectures or design fair games. Represent probabilities using fractions, decimals, or
            percents.

Seventh Grade

M7: 29 Compares and contrasts theoretical and experimental probabilities of events; and uses theoretical or experimental probabilities to
            determine the fairness of a game. Represents probabilities using fractions, decimals, or percents.

Eighth Grade

M8: 29 Compares and contrasts theoretical and experimental probabilities of compound events using fractions, decimals, or percents; and uses
           theoretical or experimental probabilities to determine the fairness of a game.

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