How well all six models matched the 2011-12 final coaches' poll.

Table explanation: The Spearman Correlation Coefficients (SCC) below relate to how well the top 15, 25 and 35 teams, in the final coaches' poll, match with the predictions for the models listed. The '0,1,2' column contains how many top 35 team rankings were only off by 0, 1, or 2 places, and this is followed by the average deviation between the actual ranking and the prediction. ("X" in the large table at the bottom represents the number of wins in the NIT tournament that a team earned.)

SCC15 SCC25 SCC35 0,1,2 Average
ZP2 0.96429 0.96923 0.96029 8,13,8 1.8571
PR2 0.97857 0.96692 0.95749 14,8,5 1.7714
50T 0.97857 0.96538 0.96450 12,9,6 1.7429
LN2 0.97321 0.95731 0.95623 10,12,4 1.9143
 ZPF 0.95536 0.94808 0.95469 7,11,6 2.1143
MCB 0.62321 0.74654 0.78690 6,9,3 4.0857
OCC 0.95000 0.97288 0.96261 10,9,7 1.7429

Commentary: Except for the MCB model, every system matched very closely the final poll this year. The 50T model recorded its second lowest overall average difference. (It was also the third lowest difference for PR2 and ZP2, lowest OCC?) The ZP2 model ranked 29 of the top 35 teams within 2 positions (or less) of where the coaches ranked them; PR2 matched the coaches exactly 14 times, OCC had its second lowest SCC-35 value (and fourth lowest SCC-25 value as well). Five of the seven models listed below had NIT champion Stanford only a few positions from where the coaches thought they should be ranked, but all of the models 'ignored' CBI champion (#38) Pittsburgh; however, the two teams who tied for the 39th position in the final poll were ranked close to that position by the models.

TeamName Poll Wins ZP2 PR2 50T LN2 ZPF MCB OCC
Kentucky 1 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Kansas 2 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
OhioSt 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
Louisville 4 4 6 4 4 6 6 6 6
Syracuse 5 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 3
NorthCarolina 6 3 5 6 6 5 5 5 5
MichiganSt 7 2 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
Baylor 8 3 7 7 7 7 7 7 8
Florida 9 3 10 9 9 9 11 9 9
Marquette 10 2 9 10 10 10 9 12 10
Missouri 11 0 13 13 13 12 10 13 12
Wisconsin 12 2 11 11 11 11 12 11 11
Indiana 13 2 12 12 12 14 16 10 13
Duke 14 0 16 16 16 16 15 22 18
FloridaSt 15 1 15 15 15 15 14 26 15
MurraySt 16 1 14 14 14 13 13 17 14
Georgetown 17 1 17 17 17 17 17 16 17
Cincinnati 18 2 18 18 18 18 20 15 16
Vanderbilt 19 1 24 24 25 26 27 23 22
NCState 20 2 19 19 19 19 21 25 19
Creighton 21 1 20 22 22 22 18 18 20
Michigan 22 0 25 25 23 23 19 38 23
NewMexico 23 1 23 23 24 24 25 14 21
Xavier 24 2 22 21 21 21 23 31 27
Ohio 25 2 21 20 20 20 22 24 28
Gonzaga 26 1 27 27 28 28 28 20 24
WichitaSt 27 0 26 26 26 27 26 21 32
StMary'sCA 28 0 33 34 31 25 24 33 29
VACommonwealth 29 1 31 31 33 29 29 29 25
SanDiegoSt 30 0 39 39 36 38 39 45 33
KansasSt 31 1 29 29 30 30 31 28 26
Purdue 32T 1 32 32 34 34 35 32 40
Stanford 32T "5" 34 33 27 40 30 34 34
NotreDame 34 0 43 43 42 41 41 57 36
UNLV 35 0 37 38 35 39 40 35 35
Temple 36T 0 41 41 41 44 44 41 39
StLouis 36T 1 28 28 29 31 32 19 30
Pittsburgh 38 CBI 102 102 105 115 115 99 87
SouthFlorida 39T 1 35 35 37 36 37 49 41
IowaSt 39T 1 30 30 32 32 33 30 31