1 - Expected Difference Rating (13-10, 4-2) 2 - Power Rating (14-9, 5-1)
3 - Discrete Rating Model (12-8-3, 3-0-3) 4 - Virtual Game Model (12-10-1,5-3-1)
5 - Overtake and Feedback (Ranking) (13-10, 3-1) + - Result if disagree with the team who was favored

Inside the (...) above is each system's won/loss record: first "straight up", and then against the spread (when disagreeing with the favorite listed by "the bookies"). The 3rd number listed is for ties: the number of games that the model thinks is dead even. The favorites won 10 and lost 12, and 6 of the 22 favorites covered the spread in 1999.

  W/L Cover Score 1 2 3 4 5 1+ 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+
Rose (Bowl): Wisconsin by 14
over Stanford
W N 17-9 W W W T W       T  
Orange: Michigan EVEN
against Alabama
--- --- 35-34 L W W L L N Y Y N N
Sugar: Florida State by 6
over Virginia Tech
W Y 46-29 L L T W W N N T    
Cotton: Texas by 5
over Arkansas
L N 6-27 L L L L L          
Sun: Minnesota by 3.5
over Oregon
L N 20-24 L L T W L     T Y  
Gator: Miami (Florida) by 4.5
over Georgia Tech
W Y 28-13 W W W W W          
Liberty: Southern Mississippi State by 7
over Colorado State
W N 23-17 W W W W W          
Peach: Clemson by 3
over Mississippi State
L N 7-17 L L L L L          
Citrus: Florida by 3
over Michigan State
L N 34-37 W W W L L Y Y Y    
Fiesta: Nebraska by 4
over Tennessee
W Y 31-21 W W W W W          
Independence: Oklahoma by 3.5
over Mississippi
L N 25-27 L L L L W         Y
Holiday: Kansas State by 10
over Washington
W N 24-20 W W W W W          
Aloha: Arizona State by 2.5
over Wake Forest
L N 3-23 W W L W W Y Y   Y Y
Outback: Purdue by 5.5
over Georgia
L N 25-28 L L L L L          
Insight.com: Colorado by 7.5
over Boston College
W Y 62-28 W W W L W       N  
MicronPC: Virginia by 2.5
over Illinois
L N 21-63 W W T W W Y Y T Y Y
Las Vegas: Utah by 5
over Fresno State
W N 17-16 W W W W W          
Alamo: Penn State by 7
over Texas A&M
W Y 24-0 W W W L W       N  
Humanitarian: Louisville by 1
over Boise State
L N 31-34 L L L L L          
Motor City: Marshall by 3
over BYU
W Y 21-3 W W W W W          
Music City: Kentucky by 3
over Syracuse
L N 13-20 W W W W L Y Y Y Y
Mobile: East Carolina by 5
over TCU
L N 14-28 L L L L L          
Oahu: Oregon State by 8.5
over Hawaii
L N 17-23 L L L W L       Y  

Back to Prof. Trono's Home page. (This page last modified November 06, 2004 .)