1 - Expected Difference Rating (12-6, 3-2) 2 - Power Rating (11-7, 1-3)
3 - Discrete Rating Model (10-5-3, 1-2-3) 4 - Virtual Game Model (10-7-1, 3-4-1)
5 - Overtake and Feedback (Ranking) (9-9, 4-6) + - Result if disagree with the team who was favored

Inside the (...) above is each system's won/loss record: first "straight up", and then against the spread (when disagreeing with the favorite listed by "the bookies"). The 3rd number listed is for ties: the number of games that the model thinks is dead even. The favorites won 13 and lost 4, and 9 of the 17 favorites covered the spread in 1996.

  W/L Cover Score 1 2 3 4 5 1+ 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+
Rose (Bowl): Ohio State by 2
over Arizona State
W Y 20-17 W W W W L         N
Orange: Nebraska by 16
over Virginia Tech
W Y 41-21 W W W W L N
Sugar: Florida by 3
over Florida State
W Y 52-20 W W T L L     T N N
Cotton: Kansas State by 3.5
over BYU
L N 15-19 W L T W L Y   T Y  
Sun: Michigan State by 8
over Stanford
L N 0-38 L L L L L          
Gator: North Carolina by 6.5
over West Virginia
W Y 20-13 W W W W W          
Liberty: Syracuse by 16.5
over Houston
W N 30-17 W W W W W          
Peach: LSU by 6.5
over Clemson
W N 10-7 W W W L W       Y  
Citrus: Tennessee by 8
over Northwestern
W Y 48-28 W W W W L         N
Fiesta: Texas by 1
over Penn State
L N 15-38 L L L L W         Y
Independence: Auburn by 7.5
over Army
W N 32-29 L W W W L Y       Y
Holiday: Colorado by 5.5
over Washington
W Y 33-21 L L T L W N N T N  
Aloha: Navy EVEN
against California
--- --- 42-38 W W W W W Y Y Y Y Y
Outback: Alabama by 1
over Michigan
W Y 17-14 W L L L L   N N N N
Copper: Wisconsin by 8
over Utah
W Y 38-10 W W W L W       N  
Carquest: Miami (Florida) by 3.5
over Virginia
W Y 31-21 L L L W L N N N   N
Las Vegas: Nevada by 6.5
over Ball State
W N 18-15 W W W W W          
Alamo: Texas Tech by 3.5
over Iowa
L N 0-27 L L L T W       T Y

Back to Prof. Trono's Home page. (This page last modified November 13, 2007 .)