1 - Expected Difference Rating (9-8, 2-2) 2 - Power Rating (9-8, 3-3)
3 - Discrete Rating Model (8-6-3, 2-0-4) 4 - Virtual Game Model (7-9-1, 2-4-2)
5 - Overtake and Feedback (Ranking) (12-5, 4-2) + - Result if disagree with the team who was favored

Inside the (...) above is each system's won/loss record: first "straight up", and then against the spread (when disagreeing with the favorite listed by "the bookies"). The 3rd number listed is for ties: the number of games that the model thinks is dead even. The favorites won 8 and lost 7, with one game ending up in a tie, and 7 of the 16 favorites covered the spread in 1991.

  W/L Cover Score 1 2 3 4 5 1+ 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+
Rose (Bowl): Washington by 7
over Michigan
W Y 34-14 W W W W          
Orange: Miami (Florida) by 10
over Nebraska
W Y 22-0 W L T W W N T
Sugar: Florida by 7
over Notre Dame
L N 28-39 L L L T L       T  
Cotton: Florida State by 6
over Texas A+M
W Y 10-2 W W W W W          
Sun: UCLA by 6
over Illinois
W N 6-3 W W W L W       N  
Gator: Virginia by 1.5
over Oklahoma
L N 14-48 W W L L L Y Y      
Liberty: Mississippi State by 9
over Air Force
L N 15-38 L L L L L          
Peach: East Carolina by 2
over North Carolina State
W Y 37-34 L L T L W N N T N  
Citrus: California EVEN
against Clemson
--- --- 37-13 W W W L L Y Y Y N N
Fiesta: Penn State by 4
over Tennessee
W Y 42-17 W W W L W       N  
Independence: Georgia by 7.5
over Arkansas
W Y 24-15 W W W W W          
Holiday: Iowa by 4
over BYU
T N 13-13 --- --- --- --- ---     T T N
California: Fresno State by 14
over Bowling Green
L N 21-28 L L L L W         Y
Aloha: Stanford by 4.5
over Georgia Tech
L N 17-18 L L L L L          
Freedom: San Diego State by 2
over Tulsa
L N 17-28 L W T W W   Y T Y Y
Hall of Fame: Syracuse by 3.5
over Ohio State
W Y 24-17 W W W W W          
Copper: Baylor by 3
over Indiana
L N 0-24 L L L L W         Y
Blockbuster: Alabama EVEN
against Colorado
--- --- 30-25 L L W W W N N Y Y Y

Back to Prof. Trono's Home page. (This page last modified September 02, 2005 .)